Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 10.156364 11.305892 12.544216 13.979315 15.599114 17.373529 19.468291
2025-06-29 8.080459 9.586028 11.325881 13.492864 16.130245 19.249419 23.237702
2025-07-06 6.714986 8.405443 10.478984 13.226913 16.798788 21.319510 27.529945
2025-07-13 5.948326 7.807296 10.211589 13.580732 18.230337 24.494502 33.697223
2025-07-20 5.359169 7.334305 10.011665 13.955902 19.702624 27.901093 40.719836
2025-07-27 4.823933 6.849095 9.710610 14.118626 20.862900 30.999500 47.785707
2025-08-03 4.296444 6.299544 9.234992 13.939378 21.458639 33.304408 53.976594
2025-08-10 3.848278 5.807803 8.775371 13.705317 21.906898 35.401431 60.131521
2025-08-17 3.471687 5.379035 8.355643 13.466879 22.291343 37.412125 66.430702
2025-08-24 3.169327 5.032029 8.021520 13.316732 22.784927 39.647908 73.476664
2025-08-31 2.926647 4.754782 7.767378 13.263169 23.424773 42.208551 81.548067
2025-09-07 2.786293 4.632056 7.755449 13.625482 24.854759 46.417226 93.627836
2025-09-14 2.574290 4.371186 7.487279 13.507746 25.396995 49.059138 103.098897
2025-09-21 2.355807 4.078668 7.134476 13.191417 25.511983 50.868902 111.132339
2025-09-28 2.181626 3.849155 6.872557 13.017421 25.886846 53.269350 120.990800
2025-10-05 2.098981 3.779416 6.899355 13.415276 27.503163 58.593586 138.952493
2025-10-12 2.022674 3.713880 6.926421 13.814917 29.177575 64.318691 159.200489
2025-10-19 1.927329 3.602690 6.852626 13.992866 30.381987 69.147440 178.208672
2025-10-26 1.804082 3.425831 6.630569 13.824957 30.767369 72.062290 192.636346
2025-11-02 1.686318 3.249955 6.394238 13.598369 30.982392 74.586442 206.537809
2025-11-09 1.578393 3.085217 6.166225 13.364975 31.149193 77.014553 220.739475
2025-11-16 1.487362 2.948043 5.984337 13.217762 31.511094 80.021404 237.481265
2025-11-23 1.411735 2.837147 5.849184 13.165587 32.109246 83.776409 257.595635